The first act announced by new British Prime Minister Keir Starmer in the aftermath of the U.K. election was the cancellation of the law enforcing deportation of illegal immigrants that was desired by his Tory predecessor but has not yet come into effect. The following data give an idea of the fate of the British Isles in the face of the gradual replacement of its native populations by people from Asia and Africa, an obvious fate that the current government is determined not to counter in any way.
Often branded as a "far-right conspiracy theory," ethnic replacement - numbers in hand - is a reality. A phenomenon recorded many times in history, in different parts of the world, it is now materializing in Europe at a frightening speed. In the United Kingdom, the phenomenon is evident. Looking at data from the last four censuses, it shows that whites have gone from making up 94.5 percent of the British population in 1991 to 83 percent in 2021. Over the same period, Asians have increased from 3.5 percent to 8.6 percent and blacks from 1.7 percent to 3.7 percent. Non-white minorities in three decades tripled from 5.5% to 17% of the total population.
Growth of ethnic minorities (1991-2021)
It has been possible for the British to retain such a seemingly "high" percentage of whites because of the immigration of continental Europeans. In 2001, there were 1.4 million European immigrants in the UK; by 2021 this had risen to 4 million (Poles, Romanians, Irish, Italians, Spanish). This influx is likely to decline, both because of Brexit and because women's fertility is declining in the rest of Europe. If we subtract European immigrants from the white total, white Britons make up 76.8 percent of the population (2021).
Add to this the fact that the fertility rate of native women is lower than that of non-European women living in the UK: Asian women give birth to twice as many children as white women. Looking at UK students, we find that the percentage of whites drops even further: Europeans make up 73.6 percent of the total compared to 26.5 percent non-whites.
We realize the magnitude of the phenomenon when we consider that ethnic minorities in 70 years-from 1951 to 2021-have increased 226-fold, from about 50,000 in 1951 (0.1 percent of the population) to 11.3 million in 2021 (16.95 percent of the population). Immigrants are not evenly distributed. There are already numerous boroughs where whites are less than 50%.
Non-European population in the United Kingdom (1951-2021)
In London, nearly one in two people are nonwhite
London with a population of 8.8 million (2021) is the second most populous capital in Europe after Moscow. Led by Sadiq Khan, a mayor of Pakistani descent and Islamic faith, the 2021 census showed that 53.8 percent of the population, just over half, is white. The demographic trend is this (ethnic composition expressed as a percentage):
Ethnic demographic composition of London (1981-2021)
If we subtract European immigrants from the white total, it turns out that white Britons make up--in 2021--just 36.8 percent of the total population, but they were less than half of the total population, 44.89 percent, back in 2011. Christians make up 40 percent, atheists 27 percent, and Muslims 15 percent. In the London borough of Newham, with a population of more than 350,000 (2021), whites are less than a third, 30.8%, literally a minority compared to Asians who make up 42.3%. If we consider only British whites (14.8%), they are also a minority in comparison with blacks (Africans and Caribbean) who make up 17.4%. Non-whites make up 69.2% of the total population. In Newham, 35.3 percent of the population is Christian, just 0.5 percent more than the population adhering to Islam (34.8 percent).
Newham ethnics in 2021
Birmingham: whites are less than 50%
With 1,144,900 (2021) inhabitants Birmingham is the second most populous city in the United Kingdom. Here the great overtaking has already taken place. As of 2021, whites are less than half: 48.7 percent. Asians make up 31 percent, blacks 10.9 percent, mestizos and other ethnicities 9.4 percent. Christian worshippers are just over a third (34 percent), tailed by Muslims (29.9 percent). Just under a quarter of the population (24%) profess no religion.
The disappearance of the indigenous population
In addition to large cities, there are other places where the native population is disappearing. Slough, a small town in Berkshire, with a population of 158,500, 35.9 percent of its inhabitants are of European descent, outnumbered by Asians who make up 46.9 percent. The allogenic population is younger and more fertile. In the 2021/2022 school year, 52.4 percent of students had Asian origins and just 23.3 percent European origins. 31.96 percent of the population is Christian, followed by Muslims (29.44 percent), Sikhs (11.35 percent), Hindus (7.79 percent), and atheists (13 percent).
Birmingham: the twilight of the natives
Other cities where whites are less than half or slightly more than half (Census 2021): Leicester (40.9%), Luton (45.2%), Manchester (56.8%), Sandwell (57.2%). There are currently as many as 60 ethnic minority mayors in the UK, of whom 18 are Muslim. As we said at the beginning, it is immigration from continental Europe that is buffering the demographic hemorrhage. However, in the long run, unless radical solutions are adopted in favor of native-born birthrates, zero immigration and repatriation measures, the situation will become irreversible within a generation or two. A report by Oxford University's Migration Observatory shows that by mid-century, within a generation, the UK's nonwhite population could rise to 30 percent.
Slough: the city where Asians outnumber whites
70/30 may not seem so bad. However, it is not the units of a population considered in absolute terms that count; one must consider the age pyramid, that is, the population structure broken down by age groups: by 2050 about 25 percent of the U.K. population will be over 65; most of these elderly will be native-born, compared with a younger, more fecund allogenic population. Looking forward, non-Europeans can only increase, Europeans can only decrease.
On April 20, 1968, Enoch Powell, in the very Birmingham where whites are no longer the majority today, delivered the famous speech known as Rivers of blood: "We must be literally mad," said the conservative politician, "as a nation in allowing annual flows of some 50,000 immigrant dependents, who are for the most part the raw material for the future growth of the immigrant population. It's as if we're watching a nation terribly busy feeding its funeral pyre."
Powell's warning has gone unheeded. Former U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, also an Asian, had announced several sweeping measures to drastically reduce immigration. In 2023, the year Sunak led the UK, there was a net immigration of about 685,000 people. This figure is the difference between the 1.2 million people who immigrated and the 532,000 who emigrated in the same year. Net immigration was mainly fueled by the arrival of non-EU citizens, with significant numbers of immigrants from India, Nigeria and China. Numbers far from the utopian zero.
If Powell's warning has not been heeded by the British, we Italians might heed it, also in light of what the news tells us about the difficult coexistence between natives and non-European immigrants in other countries such as France, Belgium, Sweden, the Netherlands and Germany.
(Graphs prepared by the author on official data from the British government and parliament.)
(Photo: Ryan Summers)
A maverick of nonconformist thought, he writes for several newspapers and blogs. He is interested in demographic dynamics, history, geopolitics and "fashionable ideologies."
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Bene, me ne felicito vivamente! Vorrà dire che i miei nipoti vivranno in un’Europa finalmente ripulita dall’etnia e dall’hybris anglosassone, vero cancro dell’umanità che tanti guai ha finora causato, non ultimo quello di aver generato la colonia USA, con tutte le funeste conseguenze che sappiamo.
Vedrai che bello quando le tue nipoti verranno lapidate oppure perché lgbtq+ precipitate in modo che sopraggiunga la morte dall’etnia non bianca dominante.
Non sapevo che su Machiavelli scrivessero anche lettori di Repubblica e Corsera, bevitori creduloni di balle galattiche globaliote, che ovviamente non hanno mai messo piede in un Paese arabo o mussulmano. Una vita di lavoro in 5 continenti mi permette di conoscere come pochi le differenti realtà. Detto ciò resto un fervente sovranista e difensore della cultura e specificità europea, messa ora in pericolo proprio dalla sudditanza al predominio USA-UK. lgbtq+++ ?non ne abbiamo in famiglia! mi spiace deluderla
Non ne ha in famiglia ma ne futuro chi può dire? Vedo che è velocissimo ad affibbiare lo stigma a chi non conosce (la informo che Repubblica/Corsera/ Stampa/Manifesto per me vanno bene per incartare il pesce) ma anche qui sbaglia il bersaglio. Incominci a ripassare il Corano. Auguri
Ognuno rimanga libero di osannare chi creda. Io vado per via breve, come si diceva una volta, “alla femminile”: ci sono pro e contro rispetto qualsiasi Paese e civiltà ma se dovessi scegliere non avrei dubbi rispetto al mondo occidentale (USA e Regno Unito compresi), pur con tutti i suoi difetti. Per il resto, difficile non concordare circa l’uso di Repubblica, Corsera e Stampa: in effetti, anche se probabilmente più appropriati, altri usi comporterebbero esiti… più ruvidi… Naturalmente, i giornali di destra non riportano il Verbo. E’ solo che non sono allineati al pensiero unico. Soltanto un appunto da muovere a Luigi Di Sangi: ha forse dimenticato Il Fatto Quotidiano?