"Origo," a leading Hungarian news site, published this review by György Nógrádi to "Immigration: the populists' reasons," a book by Daniele Scalea recently published in a Hungarian edition (read the preface by Miklós Szánthó or the transcript of Daniele Scalea's presentation in Budapest).


In 1957, the Germans proposed a new term in the Treaty of Rome, created by the founding fathers of the six countries that made up today's European Union. Gastarbeiter expressed the fact that Western Europe at the time needed additional labor and wanted to obtain it from outside sources. The idea was that skilled labor would go there, work, earn money and return to the country of origin. Even then it was clear that this idea, especially the part about returning home, was a historical mistake.

Before long, the concept of multiculturalism dramatically failed. The fusion of cultures never happened, anywhere.

In this situation, in which about 94 percent of young people arriving from the Third World are economic migrants and only 6 percent are genuine political refugees, the question of morality and religion has been raised.

The author proves his thesis with scientific credibility. He explains that, based on the successful example of the Hungarian government, it is clear that the solution to the demographic and employment problem cannot be to import workers from Africa and Asia, but to produce more children in Europe, including in Italy. The same problem has plagued the United States in recent decades.

It is predicted that in 40 years the percentage of the non-native population in Italy will reach 40 percent, up from the 1 percent it was in 2001. Anyone who dares to criticize this trend, as Fallaci did, is accused of racism.

György Nógrádi e il presidente del Centro per i Diritti Fondamentali, Miklós Szánthó, posano assieme al libro "MIGRÁCIÓ – A populisták igaza" di Daniele Scalea

György Nógrádi and the president of the Center for Fundamental Rights, Miklós Szánthó, pose together with the book "MIGRÁCIÓ - A populisták igaza" by Daniele Scalea

The book attempts to answer questions about immigration and manages to reconcile the different positions that have emerged in the debate. It affirms that it is not a single, indivisible, monolithic concept. We are currently experiencing a major demographic change of historic and global significance.

In the 1980s, for the first time in history, Africa's population surpassed Europe's. In the past 60 years, the population of the Black Continent has increased 6-7 times, thanks to health innovations. Neither Africa nor Europe has been able to respond effectively to these challenges. The only direction of migration has been Europe, as the Americas are protected by two oceans.

Africa is now close to the world average in terms of population density. In terms of arable land per capita, there has been a 71.1 percent decrease in North Africa and a 61.4 percent decrease in the southern African region. Internal migration within Africa has decreased. In 50 years it has dropped from 71% to 65%, and the main destination of migration has become Europe. Now the percentage of non-EU residents in the EU has increased from 3.9% to 5.3% in seven years.

Interestingly, the growth over the past decade has not come from civil war-torn Syria and Afghanistan, but from countries such as Pakistan and Bangladesh. These two countries account for 70 percent of Asian immigrants. Today, the ten most populous ethnic groups in Italy account for 64 percent of the total.

As for children, by this year there will be ten German cities with at least one million inhabitants in which children under the age of six who are non-native speakers of German will be the majority. Currently, the percentage of non-Germans in Germany is 26 percent. In France, ethnic and religious statistics have been banned since 1978. Anyone who comes up with these figures and asks questions about them is immediately labeled a racist.

The book also provides a detailed analysis of the link between innovation and immigration and whether migration can be a solution to the problems of an aging society, including pensions. It shows that, contrary to the misconceptions of much of the population, immigration is not a real long-term solution to any of these problems. Especially since in reality the vast majority of migrants arrive with such gaps - lack of language skills, lack of vocational qualifications, lack of diplomas - that in the long run they are at a disadvantage that continues for second and third generations, not only in the labor market, but also in school and housing. Overall, therefore, the gap with the native population is not narrowing.

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As early as 1961 Raymond Aron, one of the world's best-known philosophers, wrote that globalization increases differences between countries more than between classes.

Because the average migrant -in Europe and the United States- earns less than the average native, he or she is more likely to claim social security benefits. This puts a strain on the host country's budget.

The vast majority of the more affluent indigenous population send their children to private schools. The vast majority of immigrants attend free public schools. The quality of the latter is thus further compromised, preventing non-affluent indigenous children from receiving a serious education.

The author also describes the links between deteriorating public safety, immigration and rising crime. Swiss writer Frisch said after World War II that "we wanted manpower, but people came." Immigrants commit far more crimes than the native population. The percentage of foreigners in prison is 74 percent in Switzerland, 46 percent in Austria and 42 percent in Belgium.

There is even a division of labor among the different mafias. The Chinese deal with illegal immigration, counterfeiting, smuggling, extortion. Romanian criminals deal with everything, but especially with illegal labor and Internet fraud. For those from the former USSR, business revolves around prostitution, drugs, arms trafficking and organized theft.

The author dared to do what few have done. He analyzes the negative aspects of inclusion. And whether it is an obligation for developed Western countries to take in immigrants. What is Italy's role and responsibility in this process, in human trafficking in the Mediterranean. Why was Rome unable to apply its principles, adopted years ago, to the sinking of traffickers' ships. Why it has not been able to return the illegal immigrants to the territory of the country of origin.

Studies have found that the absolute majority of unaccompanied minors are actually adults. For example, the Swedish government conducted surveys along these lines and found that nearly 90 percent of the minors screened were not minors; after that, the percentage of minors within the migration stream decreased dramatically (by more than 90 percent).

The author analyzes why multiculturalism does not work. He also points out that anyone who speaks out against mainstream media ideas is attacked by NGOs and politicians to neutralize them. Thus Salvini in Italy or Le Pen in France. Basically, there is censorship against dissent.

Scalea points out that for Marxists, the proletariat was a class that is not a class; for post-Marxists, immigrants are a people that is not a people.

The Western media deliberately tries to paint terrorist acts committed by immigrants as criminal and not terrorist acts.

One of the great lessons of recent years is that migrants have decided the outcome of elections in several major Western countries: in 2002, German Chancellor Schröder won because the country's Turkish residents voted for him, who refused to support U.S. military action in Iraq; in 2012, Hollande won the French presidential election thanks to the votes of Muslim residents. In the United States, Democratic candidates Kennedy, Carter, Clinton and Obama won majorities because of the decisive votes of people of color.

The question is what will happen if these forces create their own national or religious parties.

The future of integration or assimilation is also a key issue.

In sum, criticism of immigration policy is not racism. For Italy alone, hosting migrants costs more than a billion euros a year. The last two sentences of the book read, "A solution can and must be found that benefits all peoples. Including our own."

I recommend reading the book.

gyorgy nogradi

Economist and security policy expert, lecturer in Budapest at the National Public Service University, Corvinus University and the National Defense University.